qqq89
0x575a227b3d9369b06a4aeffb3ab820b407f3bba6
- Realised P&L
- $-19.7k
- Volume
- $12.18M
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $12.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.195 | $6.3k | +$2.3k |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $5.0k | −$1.7k |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.041 | $1.2k | −$43.10 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$975.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.7k |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs · Trail Blazers | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$869.59 |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Weili | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.1kat 0.618Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$65.3kat 0.306Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$24.3kat 0.742LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$23.8kat 0.130Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.9kat 0.203Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:03 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1241858987 | $4.0k |
| 08-04 00:46 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.7k |
| 07-20 20:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.2k |
| 07-18 09:48 | France vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 09:48 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 09:47 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.1899999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 09:45 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-11 23:53 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-11 21:06 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.34 | $1.7k |
| 07-06 07:20 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.00 |
| 07-05 21:59 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $2.3k |
| 07-03 21:26 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $2.0k |
| 07-03 21:26 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $2.0k |
| 07-03 10:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.125 | $6.4k |
| 07-03 00:42 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1475 | $755.34 |