Charbo14
0x5758371df4555adccfb4aba53c3eb80ed0c15ea6
- Realised P&L
- $-85.69
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $3.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.050 | $3.00 | +$0.24 |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers · LSU Tigers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.79 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) · 76ers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.61 |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5 · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.35 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.01 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggies: O/U 152.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.09at 0.420Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks
- +$13.75at 0.450Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5
- +$9.79at 0.492Golden Knights vs. Jets
- +$9.03at 0.307Nuggets vs. 76ers
- +$8.25at 0.450Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 15:14 | NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.48 |
| 04-18 15:36 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.24 | $2.29 |
| 04-18 15:36 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.28 | $2.68 |
| 04-18 15:36 | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.32 | $3.07 |
| 04-13 01:31 | Nuggets vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.32 | $2.88 |
| 04-12 21:46 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 04-10 02:53 | Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 03-25 21:34 | Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 17.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 03-25 21:34 | VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 03-25 21:32 | Hawks vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 03-25 21:14 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.80 |
| 03-25 21:13 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.036 | $2.52 |
| 03-25 21:13 | Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0268333333 | $1.61 |
| 03-25 21:13 | Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 03-25 21:12 | Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.40 |