PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3xtzh

0x57522caebb6d3ecf8be8af6e836186f872e947f5

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$32.3k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$460.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.595$460.61+$35.14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 13? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$80.86
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$97.88
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$1.67
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$33.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 12:38Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.5496124732$425.48
10-18 12:36Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.9132828594$445.12
09-04 13:58Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.5442113295$178.31
09-04 13:58Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.9917312786$238.11
06-02 06:42MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.007$97.89
06-02 06:40Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.39$102.57
05-12 00:11Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?BUY0.5799528746$369.20
05-12 00:10Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.759$151.80
05-12 00:09Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.2978847112$23.93
05-12 00:09Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?BUY0.5788324932$44.78
05-11 23:52Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.292$73.00
05-11 11:54Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.2921723814$99.53
04-19 23:37Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.726$145.20
01-11 05:15Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.4175192555$78.06
01-11 05:12Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY0.032$1.67