0x574f8CcA0EF0f9bE4EE88402bAeACC6E4Bc77Ce4-1770844489041
0x574f8cca0ef0f9be4ee88402baeacc6e4bc77ce4
- Realised P&L
- $16.38
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $24.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 15? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $24.99 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.14at 0.955Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
- +$0.28at 0.972Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.22at 0.980Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 17?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 25?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 04:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 09-24 09:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.93 |
| 08-10 03:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 07-07 04:13 | Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.98 |
| 06-29 03:46 | Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-20 03:54 | Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 05-15 03:45 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 05-09 04:07 | Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.68 |
| 04-15 03:00 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-11 03:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |
| 04-09 07:32 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.63 |
| 04-02 06:56 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $10.01 |
| 04-02 06:56 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.01 |
| 03-18 07:02 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.99 | $618.75 |
| 02-28 13:03 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.946 | $10.93 |