updownsloped
0x574be426c1b995a2ca9232165ba4fab0fb3e57c9
- Realised P&L
- $-511.57
- Volume
- $43.1k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $72.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.576 | 0.700 | $72.97 | +$12.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.88 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.94at 0.622Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$43.02at 0.582Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$34.00at 0.660Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$30.16at 0.944Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
- +$28.13at 0.801Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $4.30 |
| 10-13 07:45 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 03:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5755538454 | $60.00 |
| 10-12 16:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9396221375 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 16:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.9237380074 | $12.52 |
| 10-12 16:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $12.47 |
| 10-12 14:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.9893378595 | $147.91 |
| 10-11 16:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.792424245 | $118.47 |
| 10-11 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.967831652 | $119.92 |
| 10-11 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $114.00 |
| 10-11 06:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $71.26 |
| 10-11 02:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4883412673 | $60.00 |
| 10-11 02:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $106.85 |
| 10-10 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999995 | $100.78 |
| 10-10 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $101.22 |