Danilo9633
0x574777731c5e125075e333764acc65f7b3996763
- Realised P&L
- $5.11
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $316.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · No | 0.640 | 0.725 | $166.90 | +$19.46 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.600 | $149.84 | −$7.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$534.73at 0.712Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$356.14at 0.606Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$291.12at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$47.50at 0.880No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
- +$23.74at 0.920No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:22 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.63 | $157.33 |
| 09-20 19:54 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.640443093 | $147.43 |
| 09-14 20:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $17.62 |
| 08-31 11:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $71.94 |
| 12-20 09:15 | Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | BUY | 0.8547588087 | $962.17 |
| 08-13 10:37 | UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $591.07 |
| 06-18 18:51 | No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $398.78 |
| 05-12 08:21 | No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $351.28 |
| 05-12 08:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $54.59 |
| 04-23 06:45 | No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9199999969 | $272.96 |
| 11-11 11:29 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.7234317189 | $1.0k |
| 11-10 16:01 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.7199999996 | $70.80 |
| 11-07 22:51 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.7134363846 | $100.00 |
| 11-06 18:09 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.64 | $150.00 |
| 11-05 08:53 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6059999999 | $547.76 |