b3k
0x5746273c450a1ad58123d02f02618eea7f2bea1f
- Realised P&L
- $-86.93
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $132.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.954 | $42.23 | +$0.62 |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.320 | $32.00 | −$33.00 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.995 | 0.921 | $20.26 | −$1.62 |
| Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.320 | $11.56 | −$16.96 |
| Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.927 | 0.958 | $9.58 | +$0.31 |
| Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.985 | $9.38 | +$0.33 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.355 | $7.10 | −$6.90 |
| Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 26? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.78at 0.728Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$7.05at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$6.04at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$2.43at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$2.35at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 12:39 | Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.205 | $1.45 |
| 03-10 20:33 | Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9590980392 | $7.33 |
| 03-10 20:31 | Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.03 |
| 03-10 20:31 | Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.68 |
| 02-25 23:21 | Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.26 |
| 02-20 04:39 | Yellow FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $13.32 |
| 02-20 04:39 | Yellow FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 02-18 10:25 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 02-18 10:24 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 02-18 10:07 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83984 | $8.40 |
| 02-18 09:59 | Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.95 |
| 02-18 09:54 | Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.93 |
| 02-18 09:40 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.973 | $9.83 |
| 02-18 09:12 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 02-18 08:57 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |