PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x574079D2cf8689492B8864526D2222F56415E7fc-1776077002826

0x574079d2cf8689492b8864526d2222f56415e7fc

Realised P&L
$-232.84
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$2.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5500.775$1.41+$0.41
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? · Yes0.8000.620$0.78$0.23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.5800.065$0.11$0.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00$2.00
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Shamil Gaziev0.7000.000$0.00$0.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26? · No0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.3430.000$0.00$2.00
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.23$1.09
06-10 11:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-10 11:49Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSELL0.26$1.24
06-10 11:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-10 11:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSELL0.74$1.17
06-10 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSELL0.36$1.06
06-10 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.63$1.00
06-10 11:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
06-10 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-10 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
06-09 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL0.83$1.00
06-09 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
06-08 07:51Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
06-08 07:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSELL0.94$1.12
06-08 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.84$1.00