hdfwxz
0x573d102373a89a9eddace0fabf4408f0ddf374b2
- Realised P&L
- $102.57
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.28at 0.510Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
- +$1.93at 0.627Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.91at 0.006Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.82at 0.007Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$1.43at 0.007Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 09:56 | Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 09-15 08:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.889999988 | $1.48 |
| 09-06 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 08-07 12:48 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.4899999759 | $1.22 |
| 05-23 16:42 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 05-23 16:42 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.05 |
| 05-23 16:42 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? | BUY | 0.9949996293 | $1.02 |
| 05-23 16:42 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026? | BUY | 0.9979990573 | $1.01 |
| 05-23 16:41 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 16:41 | Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.02 |
| 05-23 16:41 | Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 05-23 16:41 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.02 |
| 05-23 16:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9959993946 | $1.02 |
| 05-23 16:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9989990208 | $1.01 |
| 05-23 16:39 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | BUY | 0.9799991572 | $1.00 |