PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Subtle-Restriction

0x573cf2f95737efa8b64f7488b2cc7e7b1475a38f

Realised P&L
$407.87
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$57.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.3500.335$57.43−$2.57
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$8.40
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$50.60
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$150.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 15:06Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.3499999978$40.00
10-20 15:06Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.3499999948$20.00
06-30 18:26Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.028$155.68
06-18 20:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.882$996.66
06-18 15:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.883$997.79
06-02 19:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSELL0.1071428571$3.75
05-27 13:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.084$151.20
05-26 14:44Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.106$153.62
03-31 18:33Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0689999994$100.00
03-31 18:32Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.034$200.00
03-31 18:31Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$100.00
03-31 18:30Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$100.00
02-24 00:01Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?BUY0.9862439783$259.60
02-11 14:19Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.9$602.48
02-05 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSELL0.57$1.24