Subtle-Restriction
0x573cf2f95737efa8b64f7488b2cc7e7b1475a38f
- Realised P&L
- $407.87
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $57.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $57.43 | −$2.57 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.40 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.60 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.08at 0.083Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$100.00at 0.016Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$100.00at 0.034Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.93at 0.900Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$49.50at 0.069Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:06 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $40.00 |
| 10-20 15:06 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 18:26 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.028 | $155.68 |
| 06-18 20:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.882 | $996.66 |
| 06-18 15:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.883 | $997.79 |
| 06-02 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.1071428571 | $3.75 |
| 05-27 13:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.084 | $151.20 |
| 05-26 14:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.106 | $153.62 |
| 03-31 18:33 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0689999994 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 18:32 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034 | $200.00 |
| 03-31 18:31 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 18:30 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 00:01 | Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.9862439783 | $259.60 |
| 02-11 14:19 | Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9 | $602.48 |
| 02-05 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $1.24 |