0x57363df56374f3a3bda1391c6b7b561a7bf5fb9a
0x57363df56374f3a3bda1391c6b7b561a7bf5fb9a
- Realised P&L
- $-750.59
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.785 | $1.3k | −$121.05 |
| Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? · No | 0.590 | 0.565 | $965.05 | −$42.94 |
| Over $35M committed to the Jumper public sale? · No | 0.239 | 0.125 | $24.73 | −$22.53 |
| Over $30M committed to the Jumper public sale? · No | 0.086 | 0.005 | $2.13 | −$34.32 |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.88 |
| Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.78 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.57at 0.867Over $10M committed to the Jumper public sale?
- +$55.78at 0.443Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-5.36at 0.565Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- +$-117.77at 0.308Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-166.01at 0.593Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:02 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.5797001643 | $193.34 |
| 10-01 15:49 | Over $35M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.238879903 | $47.26 |
| 10-01 15:47 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.5504904217 | $289.44 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.6680290835 | $139.07 |
| 10-01 13:19 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.609081699 | $95.71 |
| 10-01 13:04 | Over $40M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.6007754092 | $290.43 |
| 09-30 22:37 | Over $30M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.0855031668 | $36.45 |
| 09-30 22:37 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79514 | $39.76 |
| 09-29 15:27 | Over $10M committed to the Jumper public sale? | SELL | 0.999 | $914.67 |
| 09-29 11:39 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999979 | $49.27 |
| 09-29 11:16 | Over $10M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $344.62 |
| 09-29 11:08 | Over $10M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $132.06 |
| 09-29 11:07 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 09-29 11:07 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 09-29 11:07 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |