grrrrrr
0x57304b293b6a67b5fe011c6559caad979c9b5cff
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $536.9k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.90at 0.610Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$71.60at 0.104Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$46.95at 0.052Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$43.86at 0.549Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$43.35at 0.133Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:19 | French election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $7.20 |
| 09-14 22:15 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.1k |
| 06-09 10:49 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | BUY | 0.0093333886 | $18.00 |
| 06-09 10:47 | Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0041617497 | $3.59 |
| 06-09 10:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.051 | $15.30 |
| 06-09 10:46 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $77.40 |
| 06-09 10:45 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.05 | $79.35 |
| 06-09 10:44 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $485.49 |
| 06-09 10:44 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $69.00 |
| 05-20 19:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $95.22 |
| 05-20 19:42 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0050202595 | $88.08 |
| 01-16 00:09 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $561.00 |
| 01-15 23:15 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054986 | $54.99 |
| 01-15 23:15 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $10.80 |
| 01-14 10:52 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |