PolyBot

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Traders

grrrrrr

0x57304b293b6a67b5fe011c6559caad979c9b5cff

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$536.9k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:19French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.072$7.20
09-14 22:15Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.12$1.1k
06-09 10:49Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?BUY0.0093333886$18.00
06-09 10:47Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0041617497$3.59
06-09 10:47Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.051$15.30
06-09 10:46Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.05$77.40
06-09 10:45Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.05$79.35
06-09 10:44Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.05$485.49
06-09 10:44Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.05$69.00
05-20 19:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.06$95.22
05-20 19:42Macron out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0050202595$88.08
01-16 00:09Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.055$561.00
01-15 23:15Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.054986$54.99
01-15 23:15Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.054$10.80
01-14 10:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.08$24.00