Austere-Dot
0x572cf414b8f9cd696ccc69a76957d4695b7b4360
- Realised P&L
- $127.35
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 758
- Open portfolio
- $289.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded758
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.36at 0.556Will Solana reach $120 in September?
- +$46.22at 0.158Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
- +$35.43at 0.213Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 7?
- +$31.06at 0.144US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$19.33at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:58 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.263 | $0.12 |
| 10-12 05:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2309999642 | $1.20 |
| 10-12 05:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 17? | BUY | 0.1799999903 | $1.11 |
| 10-12 04:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9589999987 | $12.00 |
| 10-12 04:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1099999991 | $12.00 |
| 10-12 04:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.2089999858 | $1.03 |
| 10-12 04:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9279999957 | $12.00 |
| 10-12 04:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? | BUY | 0.4687661768 | $11.17 |
| 10-11 16:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11? | BUY | 0.1489999932 | $1.34 |
| 10-11 16:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.19 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.8499996982 | $1.69 |
| 10-11 16:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.8549999673 | $1.70 |
| 10-10 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.7985078389 | $1.98 |
| 10-10 04:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10? | BUY | 0.6599999924 | $5.22 |
| 10-09 19:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.2599999527 | $1.21 |