PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Austere-Dot

0x572cf414b8f9cd696ccc69a76957d4695b7b4360

Realised P&L
$127.35
Volume
$13.3k
Markets traded
758
Open portfolio
$289.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded758
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.990$54.21+$3.85
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.2880.958$33.72+$23.58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.2640.967$22.20+$16.14
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · No0.7700.765$18.08−$0.12
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No0.5900.845$17.19+$5.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.994$14.74+$0.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes0.4500.535$14.26+$2.26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12? · Yes0.9590.965$12.07+$0.07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12? · No0.9280.900$11.64−$0.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.7300.685$11.26−$0.74
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13? · No0.4690.395$9.41−$1.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? · Yes0.1100.085$9.27−$2.73
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9270.985$7.93+$0.46
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes0.4080.235$6.91−$5.09
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · No0.6280.680$6.81+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 05:58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.263$0.12
10-12 05:09Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?BUY0.2309999642$1.20
10-12 05:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 17?BUY0.1799999903$1.11
10-12 04:58Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?BUY0.9589999987$12.00
10-12 04:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.1099999991$12.00
10-12 04:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?BUY0.2089999858$1.03
10-12 04:23Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 12?BUY0.9279999957$12.00
10-12 04:18Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?BUY0.4687661768$11.17
10-11 16:28Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 11?BUY0.1489999932$1.34
10-11 16:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13?BUY0.96$2.19
10-11 16:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?BUY0.8499996982$1.69
10-11 16:17Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 11?BUY0.8549999673$1.70
10-10 05:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?BUY0.7985078389$1.98
10-10 04:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10?BUY0.6599999924$5.22
10-09 19:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?BUY0.2599999527$1.21