andysj
0x572a178afb90da1fdb094e792cf34f4e3518f4df
- Realised P&L
- $0.76
- Volume
- $374.66
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $7.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.963 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.960 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.935 | $1.04 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.955 | $1.04 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.958 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.965 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.054 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.037 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.87at 0.412Utah vs. Stars
- +$14.46at 0.352Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
- +$4.29at 0.320Maple Leafs vs. Wild
- +$3.89at 0.340Blackhawks vs. Wild
- +$3.14at 0.390Lightning vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 13:22 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.38 |
| 06-03 08:50 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.34 |
| 06-03 08:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | SELL | 0.791 | $0.81 |
| 06-03 08:49 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0110484048 | $0.10 |
| 03-30 19:21 | Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 18:59 | Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 08:06 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999279 | $1.01 |
| 03-29 20:51 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 20:21 | Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 19:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | BUY | 0.9769998307 | $1.01 |
| 03-29 13:43 | Stars vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 13:36 | Panthers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 13:35 | Stars vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 13:28 | Panthers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 13:01 | Predators vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |