XD12
0x570a251dfe1ed2b7f64f3f61cc76208b849ae1f0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.44
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $121.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.03at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$50.99at 0.188Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.64at 0.582Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
- +$33.90at 0.220Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$32.63at 0.241Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 08:09 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0122338548 | $4.00 |
| 09-08 08:09 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 08:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.67 |
| 09-05 01:26 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.0679999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 01:42 | Will Emiliano Martinez join Juventus? | BUY | 0.1967835257 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 08:45 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 07:27 | Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.0407538025 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 07:26 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0084866345 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 01:31 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0081025524 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 07:16 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.0123689245 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 07:16 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.3299999886 | $15.00 |
| 08-13 00:26 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0129999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 00:24 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 16:22 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.158082566 | $8.97 |
| 08-12 16:21 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |