0x5708f52855b54f6C3Cc619cf967E7F7501dB52e5-1725949028178
0x5708f52855b54f6c3cc619cf967e7f7501db52e5
- Realised P&L
- $-112.66
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $24.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.034 | $24.13 | −$202.97 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.37 |
| Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.83at 0.400Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- +$8.91at 0.530US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.02at 0.130Cardinals vs. Cowboys
- +$-2.45at 0.072Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$-13.12at 0.017Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 20:55 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5477390317 | $275.04 |
| 04-16 04:15 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.3199758541 | $227.10 |
| 04-15 00:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999996 | $266.13 |
| 02-05 02:52 | Solana Up or Down - February 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0350226709 | $39.35 |
| 11-25 03:58 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.015 | $98.45 |
| 11-20 04:58 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $111.58 |
| 11-10 22:32 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.0359999982 | $18.75 |
| 11-10 22:32 | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | SELL | 0.064 | $18.76 |
| 11-10 21:50 | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BUY | 0.0723667454 | $21.21 |
| 11-10 21:49 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | SELL | 0.0174104619 | $21.21 |
| 11-10 13:17 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.0699999992 | $85.27 |
| 11-04 03:52 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.17 | $162.61 |
| 11-04 03:45 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.1299999992 | $124.35 |
| 11-04 03:22 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.13 | $89.03 |
| 11-04 02:58 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.179999999 | $123.28 |