0x6Cb62b6820917AFcaeAeE09B51FC1EFe1FA85fE2-1773315497317
0x56f365a0245303d94f14a0a2cea02e4fcc6b6513
- Realised P&L
- $-388.46
- Volume
- $57.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $47.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.043 | $47.94 | −$152.06 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? · Up | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.45 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.98 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$749.24at 0.230Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$-15.39at 0.149Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 16:02 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1317390362 | $91.20 |
| 06-25 22:08 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $77.45 |
| 06-13 16:21 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1872367568 | $300.00 |
| 06-03 13:32 | Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? | BUY | 0.0987351126 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 18:29 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.181475523 | $200.00 |
| 05-27 18:20 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1444496649 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 18:13 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 18:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999995 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 18:12 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 18:08 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.3288881929 | $200.00 |
| 05-21 09:37 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $223.80 |