0x56f2c3fae9dee8e3f5f30480dfa62bc165cc9f83
0x56f2c3fae9dee8e3f5f30480dfa62bc165cc9f83
- Realised P&L
- $2.63
- Volume
- $100.79
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.660 | $2.06 | +$1.06 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.992 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.790 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.685 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.535 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.200 | $0.63 | −$0.38 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.042 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:20 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:55 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:02 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 20:30 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:37 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:37 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:33 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:35 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:35 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |