PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tonifili

0x56f0f6ffe308642913e14e636db59eb9de051c37

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
811
Open portfolio
$173.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded811
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.3030.265$79.50$11.50
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · Yes0.6400.695$69.49+$5.49
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2300.119$23.80$22.20
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? · Yes0.0100.098$0.52+$0.47
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.20
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$3.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? · No0.0300.000$0.00$14.71
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$59.25
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$23.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 9? · No0.0210.000$0.00$2.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? · No0.0750.000$0.00$15.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11? · No0.0350.000$0.00$6.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$24.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:53Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.31$31.00
08-02 14:51Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.64$64.00
06-17 06:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?BUY0.01$5.00
06-16 17:56Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?BUY0.013$0.87
06-16 17:55Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?BUY0.024$6.03
06-15 06:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?BUY0.032$6.40
06-15 05:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?BUY0.023$2.30
06-15 01:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?BUY0.069$6.90
06-15 01:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?SELL0.08$1.60
06-12 07:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?BUY0.06$3.72
06-03 07:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?BUY0.76$48.13
06-02 04:00Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in May?SELL0.017$3.40
05-31 14:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?SELL0.999$199.80
05-24 20:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?SELL0.3$4.54
05-23 17:01Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?BUY0.38$38.00