PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rangerrick42

0x56e46b1f577fbe0770a22abf53f7e5cf45f26ee4

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$41.7k
Markets traded
753
Open portfolio
$396.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded753
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.8700.865$19.03$0.11
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8500.865$15.57+$0.27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8800.845$14.37$0.59
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · No0.7300.550$12.72$4.16
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? · Yes0.7300.755$8.30+$0.28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6201.000$8.00+$3.04
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs · Zeu5 Esports0.8100.725$7.97$0.94
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.3400.320$7.68$0.48
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.3500.330$7.59$0.46
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? · No0.5700.840$7.56+$2.43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3900.540$7.02+$1.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.6300.875$7.00+$1.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.6100.535$6.96$0.97
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.415$6.22$0.23
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.6800.870$6.09+$1.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:38New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.59$5.31
08-04 08:37K-League Allstars vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5BUY0.53$4.77
08-04 08:02Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya IvashkaBUY0.17$4.93
08-04 07:22Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?BUY0.67$4.69
08-04 07:21Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5BUY0.55$4.95
08-04 07:21Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel RinconBUY0.34$5.10
08-04 07:20US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.73$16.88
08-04 03:44Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?BUY0.81$4.86
08-04 03:42National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola BartunkovaBUY0.45$4.95
08-04 03:02Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?BUY0.88$5.28
08-04 02:26Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.61$3.05
08-04 01:29LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsBUY0.74$5.18
08-04 00:51San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.51$5.10
08-03 23:51Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.37$5.18
08-03 23:15National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Tamara KorpatschBUY0.38$4.94