SportsPsychology101
0x56e2c952f9b953521f08ef0eb0c15473a1fa4b88
- Realised P&L
- $373.2k
- Volume
- $6.89M
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $55.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.045 | $45.00 | −$124.99 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $10.89 | −$2.63 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Bucks vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.4k |
| Rockets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.8k |
| Heat vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.9k |
| Bucks vs. Spurs · Bucks | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.6k |
| Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.5k |
| Hawks vs. Trail Blazers · Hawks | 0.606 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.9k |
| Packers vs. Bears · Packers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.0k |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.1k |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$843.45 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) · Grizzlies | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.5k |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.21 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.6kat 0.243Lakers vs. Kings
- +$159.0kat 0.422Hawks vs. Lakers
- +$144.8kat 0.445Timberwolves vs. Bucks
- +$138.9kat 0.238Thunder vs. Suns
- +$65.6kat 0.344Celtics vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 00:01 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.226 | $937.59 |
| 06-30 17:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.4k |
| 06-29 19:39 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.2k |
| 06-29 19:38 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.4k |
| 06-29 17:07 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.8k |
| 06-27 23:55 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.8k |
| 06-23 22:31 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.37 | $31.0k |
| 06-23 16:17 | Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $19.47 |
| 06-23 15:10 | Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $23.91 |
| 06-23 01:40 | Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $8.3k |
| 06-05 17:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.5k |
| 05-28 14:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $5.1k |
| 01-22 23:39 | Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $24.0k |
| 01-21 03:04 | Lakers vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.6 | $14.4k |
| 01-21 03:01 | Lakers vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.59 | $136.02 |