PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Economista

0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b

Realised P&L
$432.96
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$904.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.7610.994$626.64+$146.64
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.6520.315$120.84$129.16
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? · No0.8790.985$97.49+$10.49
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No0.1900.175$36.84$3.16
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? · Yes0.4200.475$22.62+$2.62
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.6030.000$0.00$100.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 18:59Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?SELL0.4464515355$186.08
07-29 18:57Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?SELL0.85$84.07
07-29 13:49Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6599999976$50.00
07-29 13:48Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6599999976$50.00
07-29 13:47Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6537229522$50.00
07-29 13:46Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6426169726$100.00
07-28 23:58Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.4932014635$107.84
07-27 23:17Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.1899999969$40.00
07-22 18:23Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
07-22 18:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$256.50
07-14 21:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.571$116.95
07-12 03:00Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999932$2.00
07-10 17:20Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?BUY0.5964534271$59.00
07-10 17:19Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?BUY0.8789999995$87.00
07-10 17:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.165999996$34.00