Economista
0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b
- Realised P&L
- $45.60
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $22.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.225 | $20.04 | −$9.96 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.029 | $2.91 | −$27.09 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.603 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? · No | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.66at 0.755No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
- +$161.06at 0.667Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
- +$145.86at 0.769Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
- +$97.48at 0.661Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
- +$92.86at 0.350NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2706706105 | $260.80 |
| 10-24 12:08 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $269.00 |
| 10-24 12:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7953544633 | $269.26 |
| 10-23 23:30 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $78.00 |
| 10-23 18:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7679999996 | $1000.00 |
| 10-23 12:22 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 12:21 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.8331349667 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 12:04 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | SELL | 0.709 | $140.04 |
| 10-23 11:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $695.58 |
| 10-15 13:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $220.00 |
| 10-14 13:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 00:34 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.0011567547 | $0.24 |
| 10-04 23:15 | Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5990906093 | $54.00 |
| 10-04 22:34 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.29 |
| 10-04 22:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.12 |