PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Economista

0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b

Realised P&L
$45.60
Volume
$33.4k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$22.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · Yes0.3370.225$20.04−$9.96
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? · Yes0.3040.029$2.91−$27.09
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.6030.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? · No0.5990.000$0.00−$54.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 22:54Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2706706105$260.80
10-24 12:08Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.7699999995$269.00
10-24 12:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7953544633$269.26
10-23 23:30Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?BUY0.8599999993$78.00
10-23 18:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7679999996$1000.00
10-23 12:22Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
10-23 12:21Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BUY0.8331349667$100.00
10-23 12:04Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?SELL0.709$140.04
10-23 11:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.22$695.58
10-15 13:53Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2099999999$220.00
10-14 13:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.15$150.00
10-05 00:34Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.0011567547$0.24
10-04 23:15Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?BUY0.5990906093$54.00
10-04 22:34Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$0.29
10-04 22:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.007$4.12