aibuliu
0x56e04c90e5aa8541e642278914fc114efabd3342
- Realised P&L
- $-32.25
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $8.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17? · No | 0.770 | 0.785 | $3.92 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17? · No | 0.740 | 0.565 | $2.83 | −$0.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.041 | $1.94 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.19at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 11?
- +$46.99at 0.060Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?
- +$40.62at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 11?
- +$13.75at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 3?
- +$11.15at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-16 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.03975 | $1.16 |
| 10-16 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-16 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-15 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 10-15 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-15 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.88 |
| 10-15 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.1266442953 | $1.89 |
| 10-14 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.15 |
| 10-14 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.87 |
| 10-14 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-14 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.941 | $2.35 |
| 10-14 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.68 |
| 10-13 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.02 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.47 |