PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aibuliu

0x56e04c90e5aa8541e642278914fc114efabd3342

Realised P&L
$-32.25
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$8.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17? · No0.7700.785$3.92+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17? · No0.7400.565$2.83−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17? · Yes0.0400.041$1.94+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16? · Yes0.1270.001$0.00−$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$1.43
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:19Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?BUY0.74$3.70
10-16 18:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17?BUY0.03975$1.16
10-16 18:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17?BUY0.77$3.85
10-16 08:45Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16?SELL0.24$1.20
10-15 23:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?SELL0.6$1.50
10-15 18:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?BUY0.57$2.85
10-15 18:19Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.08$0.88
10-15 18:18Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.1266442953$1.89
10-14 20:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?SELL0.46$1.15
10-14 18:20Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 15?BUY0.26$1.87
10-14 18:19Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.41$2.05
10-14 08:00Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 14?SELL0.941$2.35
10-14 01:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14?SELL0.67$1.68
10-13 17:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?SELL0.4$1.02
10-13 15:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13?SELL0.59$1.47