lmos
0x56dddc8607fc2e6b66b6e6b54778ff433115ebb2
- Realised P&L
- $-63.03
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.740 | $5.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.68 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.29at 0.946US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.17at 0.967US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:52 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.966999953 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 13:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459998475 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 09:01 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 05-08 12:00 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 11:57 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 05-08 11:51 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 05-05 08:48 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 05-05 08:44 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 05-05 08:31 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.68 |