0x56dbcf014c0165ceed5f5a3cb7e11fcde05719ff
- Realised P&L
- $5.87
- Volume
- $56.49
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.998 | $2.54 | +$1.01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.855 | $1.92 | +$0.39 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.540 | $1.92 | +$0.39 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.725 | $1.61 | +$0.08 |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? · No | 0.630 | 0.625 | $1.52 | −$0.01 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $1.51 | −$0.02 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.605 | $1.49 | −$0.04 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.620 | 0.585 | $1.44 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10?
- +$2.68at 0.369Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.490Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.689SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$0.61at 0.718Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:38 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999438 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 18:15 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998518 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 09:18 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6199999838 | $1.53 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999838 | $1.53 |
| 09-14 14:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999542 | $1.53 |
| 09-14 05:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999438 | $1.53 |
| 09-13 21:49 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999549 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 12:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 03:58 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 18:34 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099999211 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 07:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 02:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6199999838 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 17:52 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7399999516 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 09:41 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997948 | $1.53 |