YYV
0x56d12aa209bfccd80aa146f5b66572c74f1417c4
- Realised P&L
- $-451.74
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.59at 0.022Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
- +$149.53at 0.430Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
- +$142.37at 0.023Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
- +$28.23at 0.500Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
- +$16.96at 0.086Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 25%-30%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 20:15 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.205 | $4.10 |
| 08-31 19:42 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.183 | $3.66 |
| 08-31 19:42 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.1734062699 | $283.10 |
| 08-31 12:54 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.41 |
| 08-31 03:44 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.44 |
| 08-29 00:27 | Will Marian Banaś win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | SELL | 0.98 | $16.07 |
| 08-28 02:07 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $63.26 |
| 08-28 01:43 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.217 | $28.21 |
| 08-28 01:36 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 08-28 01:33 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $81.65 |
| 08-27 03:53 | Will Teresa Calzada Rovirosa win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | BUY | 0.955 | $19.10 |
| 08-27 03:10 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.80 |
| 08-27 03:08 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.46 |
| 08-27 03:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-27 03:04 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |