PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YYV

0x56d12aa209bfccd80aa146f5b66572c74f1417c4

Realised P&L
$-451.74
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.5430.117$1.2k−$4.5k
Will Vjosa Osmani be the next President of Kosovo? · Yes0.0220.114$125.40+$101.40
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$80.09−$283.91
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0360.007$29.16−$120.79
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0020.003$18.68+$6.23
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$15.62−$83.10
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.0200.395$7.90+$7.49
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.0200.365$7.30+$6.89
Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.0200.232$4.64+$4.23
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0020.002$4.32−$1.44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.0860.180$3.17+$1.66
Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0000.006$3.13+$3.13
Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0000.004$2.78+$2.78
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$1.56−$4.64
Will Marcos Reategui win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0080.005$1.10−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 20:15Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.205$4.10
08-31 19:42Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.183$3.66
08-31 19:42Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.1734062699$283.10
08-31 12:54Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.13$5.41
08-31 03:44Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$3.44
08-29 00:27Will Marian Banaś win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?SELL0.98$16.07
08-28 02:07Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$63.26
08-28 01:43Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.217$28.21
08-28 01:36Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$0.26
08-28 01:33Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$81.65
08-27 03:53Will Teresa Calzada Rovirosa win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?BUY0.955$19.10
08-27 03:10Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.2$4.80
08-27 03:08Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.16$3.46
08-27 03:07Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.17$3.40
08-27 03:04Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%?SELL0.27$5.40