MemeKing20
0x56d0ec3e42cebca3de14da378720aa32d1f681d6
- Realised P&L
- $74.4k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $187.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.696 | 0.695 | $61.1k | −$121.84 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.705 | $37.8k | +$33.10 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No | 0.488 | 0.562 | $35.0k | +$4.6k |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.695 | $26.2k | −$3.8k |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.565 | $14.1k | +$3.5k |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.998 | $5.8k | +$1.7k |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $4.3k | +$1.3k |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $1.5k | −$23.04 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.575 | $1.3k | +$57.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.9kat 0.304Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$29.3kat 0.180Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$26.4kat 0.879Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$22.8kat 0.796Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$16.2kat 0.730Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:36 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $12.1k |
| 10-30 18:20 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.5913925419 | $12.1k |
| 10-30 18:20 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.59 | $8.9k |
| 10-30 06:36 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.4k |
| 10-30 06:15 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.6 | $123.30 |
| 10-27 20:22 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $14.8k |
| 10-27 20:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.1k |
| 10-27 20:05 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-27 19:42 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.4k |
| 10-27 19:14 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.66 | $11.9k |
| 10-27 19:08 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.68 | $10.7k |
| 10-27 18:33 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.3k |
| 10-27 12:49 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.0k |
| 10-26 18:54 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.796 | $17.3k |
| 10-26 18:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.731 | $4.6k |