Paracas
0x56cdc28bdc587bce3c7b500dc462bbb082e093b7
- Realised P&L
- $-56.94
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $11.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21? · No | 0.890 | 0.889 | $9.34 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? · No | 0.660 | 0.490 | $2.60 | −$0.90 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $92,000 on October 19? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.253Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 17?
- +$2.39at 0.306Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ET
- +$2.28at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.94at 0.212Dogecoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$1.90at 0.050Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.8899999981 | $9.35 |
| 10-19 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.6599999736 | $3.50 |
| 10-19 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.94 | $12.77 |
| 10-19 06:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.8099999948 | $11.00 |
| 10-19 06:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.903 | $10.97 |
| 10-18 12:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.948 | $7.58 |
| 10-18 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.944 | $0.99 |
| 10-18 11:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.9429999887 | $3.92 |
| 10-18 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.9489999763 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.051 | $5.27 |
| 10-18 01:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0984430906 | $10.18 |
| 10-17 23:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $92,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? | SELL | 0.17 | $12.76 |
| 10-17 21:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $11.26 |
| 10-17 17:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.047 | $9.42 |