0x56cc72726ce550c9798e9635b89f2cf17826b05f
0x56cc72726ce550c9798e9635b89f2cf17826b05f
- Realised P&L
- $-16.53
- Volume
- $102.05
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $2.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.720 | $2.36 | +$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.84at 0.520Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.56at 0.562Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.56at 0.562Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.53at 0.572Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$1.24at 0.592Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.31 |
| 08-13 19:04 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:18 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 22:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 01:09 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 17:08 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 09:05 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 17:52 | Will Warsh say "Holding" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 07-29 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |