23nbleb
0x56c472128fa8386b1affef0c9806208a4c2d67b1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $174.6k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $58.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $58.31 | +$0.03 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.51 | −$3.59 |
| Sabres vs. Bruins · Sabres | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.60at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$15.95at 0.681Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$11.37at 0.750Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?
- +$5.50at 0.560Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$2.73at 0.974Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:48 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.28 |
| 08-30 02:34 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.65 |
| 08-06 01:09 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.01 |
| 08-02 02:33 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.00 |
| 07-04 16:15 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.96 |
| 06-23 11:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989999862 | $6.90 |
| 06-07 14:09 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.00 |
| 05-24 08:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.75 |
| 05-14 10:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $51.00 |
| 04-26 02:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.67 |
| 04-15 06:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.99 |
| 03-30 03:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.07 |
| 03-18 04:08 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.50 |
| 03-09 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.00 |
| 03-02 14:50 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.10 |