0xtrialnerror
0x56c2247992eb63198e775edd968c315b8427a110
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $284.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.92at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
- +$164.96at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
- +$124.25at 0.738Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?
- +$124.00at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
- +$107.19at 0.429Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4225 | $8.45 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-04 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.43 | $30.10 |
| 08-04 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $28.70 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.15 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |