0xtrialnerror
0x56c2247992eb63198e775edd968c315b8427a110
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $65.6k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $39.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$305.96at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?
- +$276.01at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?
- +$249.00at 0.409Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
- +$243.72at 0.391Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?
- +$242.43at 0.401Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6361538462 | $41.35 |
| 09-24 12:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7766675 | $62.13 |
| 09-23 09:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $22.40 |
| 09-23 09:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.35 |
| 09-22 17:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.74 | $18.50 |
| 09-22 16:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.939 | $46.95 |
| 09-22 12:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 09:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-21 15:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.735 | $14.70 |
| 09-20 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 09-20 04:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.95 | $48.90 |
| 09-19 04:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6799999969 | $35.00 |
| 09-18 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 09-18 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.95 | $15.05 |