0x56b381017b589FB0AFB049137c8D4Af2E7233fA2-1769535581188
0x56b381017b589fb0afb049137c8d4af2e7233fa2
- Realised P&L
- $23.7k
- Volume
- $839.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,726
- Open portfolio
- $673.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,726
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.298Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?
- +$2.5kat 0.169Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 23?
- +$1.9kat 0.293Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 13?
- +$1.8kat 0.383Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 13?
- +$1.8kat 0.134Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.5135695538 | $7.83 |
| 09-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.49 | $8.82 |
| 09-04 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.4956521739 | $11.40 |
| 09-04 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.4089007566 | $36.75 |
| 09-04 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.1470037453 | $17.66 |
| 09-04 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.67 | $98.50 |
| 09-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.6632988625 | $38.48 |
| 09-04 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.2366642975 | $73.25 |
| 09-04 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.202824061 | $7.18 |
| 09-04 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4? | BUY | 0.6134469201 | $9.36 |
| 09-01 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 1? | BUY | 0.5957377049 | $18.17 |
| 08-31 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.050246114 | $3.10 |
| 08-31 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.0420521376 | $4.03 |
| 08-31 23:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 08-31 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.0104117647 | $1.77 |