0xdavid
0x56b356b66bc0b3e3dcfebd1813ba19a804237c5d
- Realised P&L
- $-103.14
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 412
- Open portfolio
- $12.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded412
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.98at 0.688Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$52.77at 0.742Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$42.88at 0.894Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$34.13at 0.597Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$28.24at 0.432Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.87 |
| 09-22 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |