iwoodward
0x56b27279d7b5d9d8d7787aca418b28dea52ec53b
- Realised P&L
- $-21.34
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $47.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%? · No | 0.780 | 0.890 | $20.98 | +$2.59 |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.710 | 1.000 | $16.77 | +$4.86 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? · No | 0.859 | 1.000 | $10.10 | +$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.02at 0.722Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 21?
- +$3.20at 0.440Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$2.19at 0.740Giants vs. Rams
- +$0.18at 0.999Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.8589999993 | $8.68 |
| 01-31 13:39 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.98 |
| 01-30 15:07 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.85 |
| 01-30 11:42 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999956 | $19.69 |
| 01-30 11:41 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.25 |
| 12-30 08:30 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.998999964 | $15.43 |
| 12-29 22:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.94 |
| 12-29 22:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999645 | $22.19 |
| 12-29 20:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999804 | $48.01 |
| 10-31 15:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.32 |
| 10-30 17:27 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.58 |
| 09-29 12:56 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.39 |
| 09-29 09:11 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.18 |
| 09-29 06:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.43 |
| 09-29 04:06 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.82 |