0x56b186062Ea8F07Ce1528757a2cef80C43A7EEE3-1761222900923
0x56b186062ea8f07ce1528757a2cef80c43a7eee3
- Realised P&L
- $-133.11
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $10.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.305 | $5.10 | +$0.08 |
| Plague case in US by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $2.60 | −$0.20 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $2.50 | −$0.50 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner · TYLOO | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner · TYLOO | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner · TYLOO | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.98 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner · TYLOO | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.59at 0.162Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
- +$26.70at 0.430Heat vs. Celtics
- +$24.40at 0.177Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
- +$18.64at 0.219Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)
- +$16.65at 0.297Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.02 |
| 10-08 02:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 01:52 | Plague case in US by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 06-09 15:15 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 06-09 14:51 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 16:49 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 03-22 15:14 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 03-22 13:04 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 03-22 11:19 | Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 03-22 03:51 | 76ers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 03:50 | 76ers vs. Jazz | SELL | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 03-22 03:41 | 76ers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 03-22 02:58 | Clippers vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.61 | $12.19 |
| 03-22 02:56 | Clippers vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 03-22 02:42 | Clippers vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |