PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PersonalComputer

0x56a7c04ee617211b9544f44a3e110562a88b9f37

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$117.3k
Markets traded
1,348
Open portfolio
$393.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,348
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0370.153$356.45+$271.45
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.150$22.50−$7.50
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$10.00−$9.98
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.017$3.52−$0.69
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0420.005$1.20−$8.80
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5) · North Carolina State Wolfpack0.5320.000$0.00−$6.06
Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche0.6300.000$0.00−$12.22
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$10.00
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4800.000$0.00−$50.00
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.2250.000$0.00−$20.00
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5 · Under0.4980.000$0.00−$48.65
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 · Under0.5740.000$0.00−$20.62
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$19.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:10Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$20.00
11-01 10:09Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.34$46.29
06-30 15:56Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.016$10.00
04-21 09:19Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.04$15.00
04-20 22:31Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.0111993348$12.19
04-20 22:31Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?SELL0.999$29.97
04-20 19:58Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?SELL0.999$205.70
04-20 16:26Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?BUY0.74$49.99
04-20 16:26Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?BUY0.73$33.38
04-20 16:26Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?BUY0.72$35.31
04-20 16:26Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?BUY0.71$30.94
04-20 16:26Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.008$7.35
04-20 16:26Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 20?BUY0.8$1.98
04-20 16:26Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?BUY0.0199834607$21.75
04-20 16:26Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?BUY0.031$10.53