orianaro
0x569c8afc204f3f69adb99fb740e98ed5ce124905
- Realised P&L
- $1.46
- Volume
- $156.22
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $7.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.555 | $7.30 | +$2.30 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.021 | $0.55 | −$5.45 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.015 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.627Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.500US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$-0.48at 0.630Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$-3.00at 0.193US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 01:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1929999537 | $3.00 |
| 06-09 03:29 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 13:53 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 05-28 02:46 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 14:46 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.52 |
| 04-14 02:13 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 17:39 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.2254901725 | $6.00 |
| 03-04 11:48 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 02-25 20:51 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.6268656623 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 20:50 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-02 23:13 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |