varietyjones
0x5699a435106fc163612d47e8f729929e6e17aaf4
- Realised P&L
- $-331.07
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $30.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.045 | $30.55 | −$147.24 |
| Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Flyers vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.34at 0.448Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
- +$81.40at 0.736Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 17:58 | Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2618455702 | $177.79 |
| 05-04 13:43 | Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $200.00 |
| 05-01 13:56 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $225.00 |
| 04-03 20:26 | Flyers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 04-03 16:57 | Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 04-02 18:04 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3522518656 | $48.06 |