SirHarryOakes
0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2
- Realised P&L
- $47.1k
- Volume
- $1.56M
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $92.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.778Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
- +$3.3kat 0.764Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.2kat 0.740Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.1kat 0.845Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$2.5kat 0.900Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:31 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $331.08 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:29 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:26 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999899 | $3.60 |
| 10-29 01:27 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $106.45 |
| 10-29 01:24 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 01:22 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8199999806 | $3.39 |
| 10-29 01:22 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9754725005 | $206.45 |
| 10-27 13:44 | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.93 |
| 10-27 13:43 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8299999887 | $3.68 |
| 10-24 02:25 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8199998576 | $4.03 |
| 10-21 12:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4871928687 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 12:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.0k |
| 10-21 12:27 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.0k |