PolyBot

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Traders

SirHarryOakes

0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2

Realised P&L
$47.1k
Volume
$1.56M
Markets traded
317
Open portfolio
$92.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded317
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9050.977$14.9k+$1.1k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6790.945$13.9k+$3.9k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9150.955$11.6k+$479.28
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9130.905$10.4k−$93.25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8060.915$8.7k+$1.0k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8350.815$8.5k−$205.23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8050.915$6.7k+$806.28
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8000.860$6.5k+$451.37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.8250.840$4.1k+$74.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4890.470$3.0k−$122.04
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8740.970$2.2k+$218.95
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8820.935$1.1k+$59.53
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.6940.730$525.96+$25.96
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8680.865$502.83−$1.73
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9110.935$129.64+$3.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:31Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9099999998$331.08
11-01 17:30Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberBUY0.9$1.00
11-01 17:29Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.8199999967$100.00
11-01 17:28Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?BUY0.91$100.00
11-01 17:26Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9099999899$3.60
10-29 01:27Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9199999997$106.45
10-29 01:24Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
10-29 01:22Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8199999806$3.39
10-29 01:22Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.9754725005$206.45
10-27 13:44Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.8$0.93
10-27 13:43Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8299999887$3.68
10-24 02:25Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8199998576$4.03
10-21 12:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4871928687$1000.00
10-21 12:55Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.95$1.0k
10-21 12:27Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.83$2.0k