PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cokenello

0x568319f98ca6b7fde3e26901c3282e9950ed4015

Realised P&L
$-58.39
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$25.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 2? · No0.8201.000$5.06+$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on October 3? · No0.9871.000$5.01+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 2? · No0.9801.000$5.00+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3? · No0.9440.999$5.00+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4? · No0.9880.995$4.99+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 7? · No0.7820.000$0.00−$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on September 9? · No0.7950.000$0.00−$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 8? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$3.95
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8? · No0.7360.000$0.00−$3.68
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19? · No0.8430.000$0.00−$4.21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 11? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4?BUY0.9879999992$4.95
10-02 08:04Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 2?BUY0.98$4.90
10-01 16:19Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.9869999978$4.95
10-01 16:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3?BUY0.944$4.72
10-01 14:34Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?BUY0.6999999408$3.55
10-01 08:03Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 2?BUY0.8201190418$4.15
10-01 08:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be 72°F or higher on October 1?BUY0.9379999964$4.70
09-30 08:04Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?BUY0.7299999684$3.70
09-29 18:34Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.983$4.92
09-29 16:19Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.9360042443$4.70
09-29 06:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on September 30?BUY0.954$4.77
09-27 16:19Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.98$4.95
09-26 16:19Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on September 28?BUY0.99$4.95
09-24 09:34Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on September 24?BUY0.921$4.61
09-24 08:19Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on September 24?BUY0.97$4.85