0x5679e885ad4461d69973c890b6b807ce29736c93
0x5679e885ad4461d69973c890b6b807ce29736c93
- Realised P&L
- $17.36
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $66.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $44.05 | −$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.215 | $21.29 | −$1.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.015 | $1.53 | −$1.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$4.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.07at 0.496Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?
- +$-2.44at 0.725Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$-3.02at 0.785Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$-5.25at 0.310Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0290342803 | $1.53 |
| 10-05 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0252323232 | $1.25 |
| 10-05 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2294949495 | $22.72 |
| 10-05 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.45 | $44.55 |
| 10-05 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $15.25 |
| 10-05 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.56 |
| 10-05 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0405199397 | $4.30 |
| 10-05 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.75 |
| 10-05 09:30 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.29165261 | $51.18 |
| 10-05 09:29 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.299 | $52.47 |
| 10-05 09:28 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.7 | $42.00 |
| 10-05 09:27 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.71 | $42.60 |
| 10-05 09:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $57.87 |
| 10-05 09:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $58.64 |