Dario26
0x56673c52cd5a66b4134dae5e1d65f2b6d631bb43
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $508.7k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $229.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.051 | $229.96 | −$26.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$379.38at 0.493Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$311.12at 0.598Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
- +$228.51at 0.775Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$123.19at 0.721Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
- +$71.54at 0.772Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 23:19 | Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 02:31 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 21:20 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999989 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:09 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 04:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.22 |
| 09-15 04:17 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0641092357 | $70.60 |
| 09-15 03:34 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0404618559 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 13:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1719999997 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 00:30 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0305247389 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:18 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0320588364 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:52 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0294617986 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:36 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.34 | $0.69 |
| 09-08 11:32 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0282395461 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 11:29 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 11:07 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |