PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Basemeta2

0x566383492004fa08fce1c20daf82345c3eeb63c1

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$240.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$20.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0640.126$19.5k+$9.5k
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0990.037$566.36−$927.45
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$108.03
Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$70.00
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$102.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 10:31Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.31$108.03
08-27 18:21Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27?BUY0.0349795362$102.56
08-24 15:43Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5799999988$50.00
07-19 15:36Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0989091863$1.5k
04-17 14:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0746359375$3.4k
04-17 14:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0884354406$1.6k
04-17 14:16Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0547564687$5.1k
03-16 16:54Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.0510981496$635.00
03-07 08:11Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.1399720611$250.00
03-01 16:37Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY0.4$200.00
02-28 19:42Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY0.0754329402$10.00
02-28 19:41Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.972$418.11
02-05 10:40Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0744613593$400.00
02-05 10:35Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1$200.00
02-04 21:48Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY0.0774563822$60.00