Basemeta2
0x566383492004fa08fce1c20daf82345c3eeb63c1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $240.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $20.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.126 | $19.5k | +$9.5k |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.037 | $566.36 | −$927.45 |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.03 |
| Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.56 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$375.61at 0.727Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$250.35at 0.390Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$156.41at 0.390Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$90.00at 0.640Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
- +$35.16at 0.592Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:31 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.31 | $108.03 |
| 08-27 18:21 | Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.0349795362 | $102.56 |
| 08-24 15:43 | Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 15:36 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0989091863 | $1.5k |
| 04-17 14:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0746359375 | $3.4k |
| 04-17 14:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0884354406 | $1.6k |
| 04-17 14:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0547564687 | $5.1k |
| 03-16 16:54 | Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0510981496 | $635.00 |
| 03-07 08:11 | Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.1399720611 | $250.00 |
| 03-01 16:37 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 19:42 | Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | BUY | 0.0754329402 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 19:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $418.11 |
| 02-05 10:40 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0744613593 | $400.00 |
| 02-05 10:35 | Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 02-04 21:48 | Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | BUY | 0.0774563822 | $60.00 |