0x56637464a39532f50e50562cbb09d64250126900
0x56637464a39532f50e50562cbb09d64250126900
- Realised P&L
- $-251.75
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $13.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.019 | $5.18 | −$3.82 |
| England vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.580 | 0.555 | $4.78 | −$0.22 |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.565 | $1.89 | −$0.15 |
| Exact Score: Cayman Islands 0 - 1 Dominica? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Denmark? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Wales? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.66at 0.030Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$89.17at 0.173Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$34.80at 0.164LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winner
- +$29.83at 0.521Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$20.93at 0.199Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Club?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:12 | Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6099999372 | $2.04 |
| 09-24 21:11 | Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.033 | $9.00 |
| 09-24 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $0.81 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $1.09 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:58 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8168487205 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 20:41 | Exact Score: Cayman Islands 0 - 1 Dominica? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 20:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-24 20:36 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.33 |
| 09-24 20:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.82 |
| 09-24 15:15 | Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Wales? | BUY | 0.0269999999 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 14:11 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Denmark? | BUY | 0.064 | $12.80 |
| 09-24 14:09 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |