PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

btobbes

0x56543bc508f0b85fc5d448515baf8a6d67b0dc18

Realised P&L
$-677.00
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$553.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2510.095$265.11$434.88
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1940.040$203.47$796.52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0950.046$48.92$51.08
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.6560.048$36.22$463.78
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 07:03Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$7.05
06-22 07:01Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9908050389$291.41
06-22 06:59Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$1.2k
05-19 19:41Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.536$72.30
05-19 19:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.9540850022$280.61
05-01 17:47Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.8$500.00
04-23 06:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.951$184.82
04-23 06:27Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.6432381699$300.00
04-23 06:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.4$100.00
04-23 06:25Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.679999999$200.00
04-23 06:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.95$253.33
04-23 06:22Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0899999996$200.00
04-23 06:21Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.6948262928$200.00
04-23 06:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.9517244671$526.41
04-23 06:18Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.3065189798$124.03