honk75
0x5651f0e01b52367ef76f5c18460c8e21f4a766a6
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $362.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,231
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,231
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.80at 0.372Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
- +$323.77at 0.307Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$270.02at 0.808Will Solana reach $250 in September?
- +$262.84at 0.775Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?
- +$235.27at 0.651Will Solana dip to $190 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.961 | $52.00 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $52.37 |
| 08-01 17:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9639999862 | $51.00 |
| 08-01 17:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9469999915 | $60.00 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9459999922 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 09:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7599999974 | $184.32 |
| 08-01 09:28 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:14 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.9949998762 | $8.00 |
| 07-30 14:19 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $128.00 |
| 07-30 14:18 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 14:18 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8589999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 14:16 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.849999966 | $10.00 |