honk75
0x5651f0e01b52367ef76f5c18460c8e21f4a766a6
- Realised P&L
- $-19.5k
- Volume
- $654.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,566
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,566
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$782.64at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?
- +$678.54at 0.482Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?
- +$611.46at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?
- +$465.80at 0.371Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
- +$380.97at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.9309999995 | $86.00 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $43.29 |
| 11-01 17:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.5443200192 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 17:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.8333739277 | $800.00 |
| 11-01 11:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4? | BUY | 0.7662556525 | $515.21 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.9172239071 | $800.00 |
| 10-31 17:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.7629999992 | $213.16 |
| 10-31 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $211.00 |
| 10-31 15:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.07 |
| 10-31 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $66.16 |
| 10-31 15:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $122.32 |
| 10-31 15:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9839991892 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9859101515 | $530.00 |
| 10-31 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $534.84 |