honk75
0x5651f0e01b52367ef76f5c18460c8e21f4a766a6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.5k
- Volume
- $510.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,387
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,387
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.80at 0.371Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
- +$380.97at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
- +$315.03at 0.315Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$285.39at 0.769Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$276.17at 0.861Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:07 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999995 | $56.75 |
| 09-17 16:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.88 |
| 09-17 05:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $56.00 |
| 09-17 05:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $50.20 |
| 09-17 05:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.04 |
| 09-16 20:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9809999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:45 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:43 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9269999992 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9909999957 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 13:48 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999939 | $86.00 |
| 09-16 13:47 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $70.00 |
| 09-16 13:47 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $157.63 |
| 09-16 13:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9659999998 | $115.00 |
| 09-16 13:45 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |