PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

honk75

0x5651f0e01b52367ef76f5c18460c8e21f4a766a6

Realised P&L
$-19.5k
Volume
$654.7k
Markets traded
1,566
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,566
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? · Yes0.8180.840$1.0k+$27.25
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9450.902$812.07−$37.94
Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8870.765$655.65−$104.35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4? · Yes0.7660.765$514.37−$0.84
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3? · Yes0.4570.555$267.41+$47.41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? · Yes0.5100.575$225.49+$25.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? · No0.9310.976$90.16+$4.16
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.8790.600$14.33−$6.67
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes0.6780.445$13.13−$6.87
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.7500.745$9.94−$0.07
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.155$7.25−$16.60
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6070.130$2.14−$7.86
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.7100.430$1.21−$0.79
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.034$0.41−$0.25
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.075$0.28−$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:28Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.9309999995$86.00
11-01 20:27Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$43.29
11-01 17:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?BUY0.5443200192$20.00
11-01 17:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?BUY0.8333739277$800.00
11-01 11:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4?BUY0.7662556525$515.21
11-01 11:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.5099999997$200.00
11-01 11:16Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?BUY0.9172239071$800.00
10-31 17:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?BUY0.7629999992$213.16
10-31 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?BUY0.982999998$211.00
10-31 15:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?SELL0.998$25.07
10-31 15:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?SELL0.999$66.16
10-31 15:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31?SELL0.999$122.32
10-31 15:05Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.9839991892$1.00
10-31 14:32Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.9859101515$530.00
10-31 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?SELL0.67$534.84