PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

letmehavethat

0x5651791318733c165ce9f5b082b25da5696383e1

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
831
Open portfolio
$12.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded831
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · Yes0.3300.155$5.27−$5.95
Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · Yes0.4200.200$3.87−$4.25
Will Rosi Aires win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election? · No0.9300.981$1.96+$0.10
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2000.052$0.58−$1.62
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No0.8500.075$0.44−$4.60
Will Lahesio Bonfim win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? · Yes0.0600.203$0.41+$0.28
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4300.043$0.11−$0.99
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? · No0.1000.011$0.08−$0.63
Will MiniMax be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0120.005$0.02−$0.03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima? · No0.2500.013$0.02−$0.43
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.0120.001$0.01−$0.23
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.0300.001$0.01−$0.59
Will Mariano Macedo win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.0300.003$0.01−$0.09
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes0.0300.001$0.00−$0.16
Will Monica Benicio win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 21:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.5478199568$43.00
09-12 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.8799999985$47.00
09-12 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.9$47.00
09-12 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.8652359162$47.00
09-12 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.94$47.00
09-12 15:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.9$9.00
09-12 13:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.9299999992$47.00
09-11 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.92$47.00
09-11 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.93$18.60
09-11 13:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.92$46.00
09-11 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.9299999992$47.00
09-11 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.8361990924$44.00
09-11 09:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.9299999992$47.00
09-11 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.8463199991$42.50
09-11 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.92$15.23