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0x564e0823cedac8b3100fef88d70f92d0d7c56654
- Realised P&L
- $66.42
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $119.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $10 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $92.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $9.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Frida Stål be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $6.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$305.16at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$53.32at 0.660Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$48.59at 0.604Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$30.00at 0.700Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
- +$7.38at 0.520Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 14:15 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.00 |
| 09-06 12:01 | Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 09-06 11:59 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 08-28 12:22 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.00 |
| 08-11 09:05 | Will Frida Stål be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 08-11 09:04 | Will BNB dip to $200 in August? | BUY | 0.9983925652 | $107.00 |
| 07-22 14:35 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $125.50 |
| 07-06 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 07-06 14:46 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9809999979 | $162.00 |
| 06-23 13:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9949999577 | $6.00 |
| 06-10 11:03 | Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.00 |
| 06-10 11:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9979999413 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 11:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $608.00 |
| 05-26 13:56 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |