PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LordOfTheRim

0x56493b1135691d199bc0a04d31cf1ef2ba714c4d

Realised P&L
$9.49
Volume
$297.55
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.2700.450$1.67+$0.67
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.2100.009$0.05$0.95
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 07:17Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-11 07:15Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-10 19:03Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0719999378$1.00
06-21 10:08Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0350359245$1.00
05-13 20:18Starmer out by May 15, 2026?SELL0.044$2.20
05-12 08:09Starmer out by May 15, 2026?SELL0.305$15.54
05-10 23:34Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0223496037$1.00
05-10 02:45Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.0495253491$5.00