LordOfTheRim
0x56493b1135691d199bc0a04d31cf1ef2ba714c4d
- Realised P&L
- $9.49
- Volume
- $297.55
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.450 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.009 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.03at 0.051Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 07:17 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 07:15 | Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 19:03 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0719999378 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 10:08 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0350359245 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 20:18 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $2.20 |
| 05-12 08:09 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.305 | $15.54 |
| 05-10 23:34 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0223496037 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 02:45 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0495253491 | $5.00 |