Gghfsdg
0x564803d9c357a83337fe90b75c9b78363f10314e
- Realised P&L
- $-470.87
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $18.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.470 | $9.40 | −$1.80 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.837 | 0.869 | $8.69 | +$0.32 |
| Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.31 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.92at 0.041Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$4.75at 0.190Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- +$3.01at 0.022Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar
- +$2.74at 0.747Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$2.42at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 03:18 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.985 | $17.36 |
| 10-06 04:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.837 | $8.37 |
| 10-06 03:41 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.9179999969 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 00:21 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 10-04 22:30 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.011532765 | $2.42 |
| 10-04 22:01 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.54 |
| 10-04 21:30 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-04 21:29 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-04 21:27 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 21:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.70 |
| 10-04 21:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1598921553 | $10.01 |
| 10-04 01:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.361 | $3.61 |
| 10-03 01:46 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-03 00:02 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.051 | $6.88 |
| 10-03 00:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |